Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TRX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-24 0.245889 0.278045 0.312248 0.351273 0.394506 0.440867 0.494280
2025-08-31 0.200671 0.243565 0.291986 0.350474 0.418976 0.496425 0.590366
2025-09-07 0.172771 0.222857 0.282333 0.357693 0.450114 0.559211 0.697132
2025-09-14 0.148460 0.202369 0.269371 0.357953 0.471070 0.609682 0.791255
2025-09-21 0.129502 0.185676 0.258447 0.358401 0.490703 0.658241 0.884599
2025-09-28 0.114300 0.171740 0.249045 0.358985 0.509295 0.705310 0.977504
2025-10-05 0.103419 0.162229 0.244182 0.364462 0.533752 0.760356 1.082736
2025-10-12 0.095541 0.155947 0.242860 0.374123 0.563773 0.823636 1.201378
2025-10-19 0.087068 0.147737 0.237781 0.377573 0.584663 0.874788 1.305171
2025-10-26 0.080827 0.142201 0.235952 0.385243 0.611521 0.934980 1.423696
2025-11-02 0.076136 0.138569 0.236531 0.396238 0.643450 1.003403 1.556410
2025-11-09 0.069104 0.130327 0.229124 0.394164 0.655230 1.042599 1.647939
2025-11-16 0.062835 0.122936 0.222752 0.393688 0.670075 1.088041 1.752419
2025-11-23 0.057110 0.115877 0.216285 0.392469 0.683486 1.131735 1.856033
2025-11-30 0.053560 0.112346 0.215409 0.400258 0.711484 1.198778 1.997712
2025-12-07 0.049128 0.106683 0.210319 0.400448 0.726900 1.246640 2.111460
2025-12-14 0.045191 0.101526 0.205645 0.400890 0.742520 1.295203 2.227908
2025-12-21 0.041672 0.096797 0.201310 0.401508 0.758248 1.344322 2.346826
2025-12-28 0.039188 0.093897 0.200093 0.407533 0.783396 1.409594 2.493936
2026-01-04 0.037471 0.092410 0.201403 0.418177 0.816995 1.489979 2.668387
2026-01-11 0.035093 0.089240 0.199167 0.421976 0.838503 1.550794 2.812539
2026-01-18 0.033409 0.087412 0.199415 0.430427 0.868663 1.627243 2.985212
2026-01-25 0.032210 0.086555 0.201530 0.442540 0.905971 1.717188 3.183480